The 2018 Kerala Floods- A Disaster created by Dam Dynamics

World Dam Dynamics control floods – 2018 Kerala

© 2018-2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

 Re:

 https://indianexpress.com/article/india/483-dead-in-kerala-floods-and-landslides-losses-more-than-annual-plan-outlay-pinarayi-vijayan-5332306/

"During the special Assembly session convened to discuss the relief and rehabilitation measures underway to cope with the state’s worst floods in a century, Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan informed the House that a total of 483 people lost their lives in rain-related incidents this monsoon. While 14 people are reported to be still missing, around 140 people were admitted to hospitals during this period.
Vijayan, who deferred his trip to the US for medical treatment scheduled for earlier this month to lead his administration’s rehabilitation exercise, said the losses due to the floods and landslides are more than the state’s annual plan. In the 2017-18 fiscal year, Kerala’s annual plan outlay was pegged at Rs 26,500 crore.
“The rescue operations which took place at the height of the monsoon are without comparison. To all those who sacrificed their lives to help others, who took brave and daring steps to rescue one another, we want to offer a big salute,” the chief minister said in his speech."





Rainfall Kerala Districts 2018 Weekly departures from Normal, %. The columns in the following Table refer to the rains in Week ending dates mentioned against each column.

From the IMD link:

http://hydro.imd.gov.in/hydrometweb/(S(vuzxf055gardda45f1hzqq45))/PdfReportPage.aspx?ImgUrl=PRODUCTS\Rainfall_Departures\Weekly\District\DISTRICT_RAINFALL_DEPARTUREWEEKLY_COUNTRY_INDIA_c.PDF

World dam dynamics cause extremes of rain with excessive weekly percentage departures from the normal. See the IMD link given above and Ref 1,2,3,4,5,6 and 7. In this article, the analysis of world dam dynamics causing Kerala Floods is given. The prerequisites are the References 1-7 for proof of world dam dynamics causing floods and climate change. See Table 1 for Results of the analysis.Column R BF,BJ is correlation Coefficient between Thiruvananthapuram departure and Kerala departure as Weekly percent rain departures.
Its p is p3. Note that the simultaneous temperature departure correlations and the intra depature correlation jointly is p1p2p3 and is vanishingly small.

 The analysis is captured in the following graphs: Figure 1,Figure 2 and Figure 3:

 The number of earthquakes has increased by two orders of magnitude in the dam era compared to the pre-dam era. And the mean duration between successive  earthquakes has decreased for significant earthquakes in the world from 4.9633 to 0.0422 years respectively. And the mean time between earthquakes in the hydrological year 2017-18 stood at 0.012431457 of a day or every 17.9 minutes. This enormous increase in frequency of earthquakes has greatly increased the direct heating up of the earth by dams. See the following Table:

To see how the Kerala surface temperatures have increased due to earthquakes caused by dams in the period June to 12 September 2018 see the following time series for shock input temperatures on the Thiruvanthapuram area for the 8.2 MM Fiji great earthquake:

The solution to the disasters caused by modern civilization:

Ecologically reforest the world making dams infinitely inferior to forests. Simultaneously phase out the dams asap. Move away from modern civilization, a society of specialists. See Reference 8.

References.

1. USGS Earthquake data at

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

2. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar. 2005. Earthquakes caused by dams at

http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com/2006/07/title-earthquakes-caused-by-dams.html

3. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar.2011.Glaring lacuna in meeting water needs exposed at

http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/2011/04/glaring-lacuna-in-meeting-water-needs.html

4. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar. 2013. Severe Monsoon Extreme Events are caused by the Dams of the World.

Dams are causing severe monsoon rains at

http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/2013/07/severe-monsoon-extreme-events-are.html

5. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar. 2015. predicting earthquakes: The science of dams causing earthquakes and climate change at

https://predictingquakes.blogspot.com/2015/04/the-science-of-dams-causing-earthquakes.html

6. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar.2015. Tamilnadu flood during North East Monsoon 2015. At

http://collateralsofclimatechange.blogspot.com/2015/11/tamilnadu-flood-during-north-east.html

7. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar.2017. PERFECT DESIGNS.Ignore root cause, get root shock- Dams the cause of Irma's Fury. Link :

https://livingnormally.blogspot.com/2017/10/ignore-root-cause-get-root-shock-dams.html

8. Ramaswami Ashok Kumar. 2008. Reforest Mother Earth to Live! Water, droughts, and floods on the Indian subcontinent:The naturalecologies solution. Link:

https://practicethevedas.blogspot.com/2008/05/reforest-mother-earth-to-live.html

 

The dangers of uranium internal Exposure: Chamarajanagar drinking water's omnicidal risks.

Extermination policies based on bankrupt science: The case of Chamarajanagar drinking water contamination with Uranium 238 and its daughters: A comparison of ICRP-72 1996 and ECRR 2010 dose conversion factors for ingestion.

R. Ashok Kumar, B.E.,M.E., Negentropist, Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chowk, Mumbai-400007.

© 2018 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

1.0 Summary

The dose conversion factor for ingestion of uranium 238 as given in ICRP-72 1996 is 4.5E-8 Sv/Bq. That given by ECRR 2010 is 2.5E-4 for infants 0 to <=1 y olds, 1.2E-4 for >1 to 14 y olds and 8.4E-5 for adults, all in Sv/Bq. This is 5560, 2670 and 1870 fold the ICRP dose conversion factor, respectively. Thus the conclusion drawn by K.M.Nagaraju et al (1) is turned on its head by the ECRR 2010(2). The uranium contamination levels determined in 1 when used with the ECRR 2010(2) dose conversion factor for drinking water in Chamarajanagar district of Karnataka lead to an Excess Fatal Cancer rate/year per household of  2.3 times the All India value(3) for all cancers/household in 2010(0.00518 vs 0.002253). This is based on the excess fatal cancer risk of 0.1/Sv (ECRR 2010). Niti Aayog must diligently follow up on such information and convert it into policy to enable life to thrive. The government must recognise the information sources in the digital age, gauge the truth of such information which may be found only in private but published blogs as distinct from the false Regulatory Recommendations that are governing the present policies of the government.

2.0 The analysis.

2.1

See Table 1 for the Uranium concentrations in water samples in the various locations of Chamarajanagar district of Karnataka State. Also shown are the annual ingestion doses in uSv/y using ICRP dose conversion factors.  These values are taken from Table 1 of Ref 1. Ref 1 uses an activity level for U238 as 24.8 MBq/kg while activity level used here is 37 MBq/kg(See Page 147 and Table 12.1,Ref 2). We see from Table 1 below that at almost all the locations where uranium concentration is tabulated, the ECRR 2010 annual dose  in microSv/y exceeds by orders of magnitude FOLD, the WHO limit of 100 microSv/y.

2.2

Thus it is now essential to calculate the cancer rate/y /household in Chamarajanagar district based on the ECRR 2010 dose conversion factors and using the fatal cancer risk of 0.1/Sv as given in the ECRR 2010 recommendations(2). This figure is computed using the demographic data for Chamarajanagar from 2011 Census Report of the Government of India(4). This figure is then used to compare with the All India all Cancer Rate which is derived here from  Ref 3,Ref 4 and Ref 5. SeeTable 2. The uranium contaminated water ingestion in Chamarajanagar district of Karnataka imposes an excess fatal cancer per year per household on the average of 2.3 times the All India fatal cancer deaths in 2010 per household.

Note the warning in ECRR 2010:

The Committee has had to deal with this very real problem by presenting a real solution; in this case the solution is to weight Uranium exposures by a factor of 1000 at normal background gamma photon levels (100nGy/h). This will be modified when experimental results of Secondary Photoelectron effects become available. It is clear that the effects of Uranium are wide ranging, and so to consider only genetic effects from Uranium exposure would be quite wrong. In addition, different types of exposure will cause different spectra of conditions. In the case of conventional estimates of risk from internal Uranium, which essentially compare it with external doses, the errors are arguably greater than for any other material. There is now sufficient evidence to treat Uranium aerosols as if they had infinite biological effectiveness. The Committee therefore believes that using a risk factor to assess causality in Uranium-exposed populations or individuals should be done with extreme caution, even if that risk factor has been modified by application of a weighting that approximates observation.. If a disease or condition or genetic heritable effect of any kind is seen to increase after exposure to Uranium, causality should not be ruled out whatever the dose differential between a population before and after the exposure, or between exposed populations relative to unexposed controls.

 

3. References

1. Estimation of radiation dose due to uranium in water to the public in Chamarajanagar district, Karnataka State, India.K.M. Nagaraju, M.S. Chandrashekara*, K. S. Pruthvi Rani and L. Paramesh Department of Studies in Physics University of Mysore Manasagangotri, Mysore -570 006 INDIA at:K.M. Nagaraju et al., American International Journal of Research in Science, Technology, Engineering & Mathematics, 7(2), June-August, 2014, pp. 144-147.

2. ECRR 2010. 2010 Recommendations of the European Committee on Radiation Risk .The Health Effects of Exposure to Low Doses of Ionizing Radiation, Regulators’ Edition: Brussels 2010,Edited by Chris Busby with Rosalie Bertell, Inge Schmitz-Feuerhake,Molly Scott Cato and Alexey Yablokov. Published on behalf of the European Committee on Radiation Risk, Comité Européen sur le Risque de l’Irradiation, Green Audit 2010: Available online.
2a. 2010 Recommendations of the European Committee on Radiation Risk: Table A1:  Dose coefficients of various isotopes for low-dose exposure following ingestion and inhalation.

3. Census of India 2011,KARNATAKA,SERIES-30 PART XII-A, DISTRICT CENSUS HANDBOOK,CHAMARAJANAGAR, VILLAGE AND TOWN DIRECTORY, link at

http://censusindia.gov.in/2011census/dchb/2924_PART_A_DCHB_CHAMARAJANAGAR.pdf

4. Houses, Household Amenities and Assets Data,2001 -2011-Visualizing Through Maps,DR.C. CHANDRAMOULI,Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India at the URL:

http://censusindia.gov.in/2011-Common/NSDI/Houses_Household.pdf

5. Grace Rattue .Medical News Today.What Are The Leading Causes Of Cancer Deaths In India? Published Thursday 29 March 2012. URL:
 https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/243547.php

The British Greens and the unvedantic and sickly support to Khalistan

Re: https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/uks-green-party-comes-out-in-support-of-august-12-pro-khalistan-rally-in-london/article24616379.ece?homepage=true
What did the Greens do regarding the tragic cancer epidemics raging in Punjab and in Thoothukudi for the past decades? We have our thanks to the European Committee on Radiation Risk to highlight the infinite Biological effectiveness of uranium in the copper concentrates and in phosphate fertilizer. The utterly unvedantic episodes are never to be repeated in the world. The sickly demonstrations are best converted to one against the irreversible crimes of modern civilization:
The specialist approaches to meet our needs is suicidal. Indeed as Shri Shankar Sharma points out repeatedly Thoothukudi shutdown matters little and our needs must be optimised to avoid such huge copper consumption for meeting our energy needs. Modi govt and the states will  do well to ruminate over the Sharma essay and kick start Niti Aayog to implement the recommendation in it's entirety and avoid more Thoothukudis while giving due reparations to the Thoothukudi living beings and others similarly affected by modern civilization:
https://countercurrents.org/2018/07/26/credible-electricity-demand-projection-for-year-2027-and-beyond

Reference
https://livingnormally.blogspot.com/2018/06/thoothukudi-cancers-resulting-from.html?m=1

Individual Rights and the false public interest

Re: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/a-fundamental-error/article24566374.ece?homepage=true
Examples should be provided to clarify the case made against the  prima facie Injustice meted out to the individual for the benefit of the community.  Modern civilization, a society of specialists is the shining example of individual rights being unconstitutionally permanently lost for the sake of fraudulent benefits to society: Thoothukudi copper produced at the cost the health of all life, the Bhopal disaster, worldwide dam dynamics melting the earth causing great earthquakes and climate catastrophe, blatant violation of individual rights by nuclear power which robs society of power: infact we must abandon modern for the normal.We must not copy the mad Chinese policies.never.China is a blatant rakshasa(Ref's 2 and 3). Srikrishna Report must be rejected as an emulator of evil(Ref 1).

References:
1. ECRR 2010 Recommendations of the European Committee on Radiation Risk.
The Health Effects of Exposure to Low Doses of Ionizing Radiation,Regulators’ Edition: Brussels 2010, Edited by Chris Busby with Roasalie Bertell, Inge Schmitz-Feuerhake, Molly Scott and Alexey Yablokov.
Green Audit Press, Castle Cottage, Aberystwyth, SY23 1DZ, United Kingdom. Sections 4.3 to 4.6.

2. R. Ashok Kumar. 2018. Karma for India: damless and full of all life. At the link:
 https://livingnormally.blogspot.com/2018/07/karma-for-india-damless-and-full-of-all.html


3. Buckley,M. 2014. Meltdown in Tibet. China's Reckless Destruction of Ecosystems from the Highlands of Tibet to the Deltas of Asia. Palgrave MacMillan.