Wednesday, December 5, 2018

Crazy high growth rate and Life


Gross Nature Product, Gross Domestic Produce, growth rate and Life.
By Ramaswami Ashok Kumar,B.E.,M.E., Negentropist, Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chowk, Mumbai-400007.

© 2018-2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

1. Modern civilization, a society of specialists is blind to the central truth about GHG emissions: They cannot be sustained without hydroelectric power. Modern civilization has switched over to surface storage of water from underground storage enabled by forests timelessly. The first manifestation of that was the American Flu Pandemic in 1918. Also the direct heating up of earth by World Dam Dynamics: The Worldwide water demand time series was met by the World’s Dams’ Reservoirs by dam content change series. This caused the direct heating up of the earth causing the earth to melt and cause earthquakes and tsunamis and climate change. Look how rigidly World dam capacities correlate with surface temperature of the earth: See PERFECT DESIGNS: Ignore root cause, get root shock- Dams the cause of Irma's Fury at the link:




2. A growth rate of 7% should cause some 80 million more people to be gainfully employed, just in the year in which the annual growth was measured. 80 million people employed can mean a power of 8000 Million watts (8000 MW) at work. That would displace all the nuclear plants which are producing less than 3000 MW as of 30 November 2018(CEA,daily generation report), out of a total of 6780 MW. The human beings and all life  non-clonally reproduce themselves. The efficiency is 100 percent, without mining for say uranium or coal or water power. So the growth rate the rulers are quoting is in the materials and goods produced, with a stagnant number of people employed and at infinite contamination cost. The supreme court has given its pronouncement on nuclear power even though it is unsafe and year after year consumes all the power it produces and more. Why not stop this useless action and use the finances released to power living energy like forest growth ecologically? 
See the latest developments:

 https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-will-fight-live-work-and-win-as-one-pm-modi/article26396476.ece?homepage=true#comments_26396476


India is moving fast in  the direction of a national government to address people's issues and issues of all life. The people must list requirements for the creation of a national government which will ensure that the bottomline of the requirements are met, like nature is supreme and all requirements must be secondary to this so that survival in health of all is possible for a long time to come. This sort of frequent violations of the line of control, the disruption of life in the border areas and destructive development and sabotage by terrorism of all hues is replaced by normal development.
 

1. Energy Audit of the Indian Nuclear Programme: Right to life prevails absolutely over nuclear energy programmes at https://energyauditnuclearprogrammeindia.blogspot.com/2013/05/right-to-life-prevails-absolutely-over.html

2. See also an important revelation regarding the specialist outlooks of the various constitutionally created authorities on nuclear energy and how carelessly they are proceeding ahead at

2.1 PERFECT DESIGNS: Causal Inference of fatal cancers-a macro perspective at the link:


2.2 Stop Nuclear Energy Programmes: LET LAWS BE FRAMED BASED ON GOD"S LAWS ON PAIN OF EXTINCTION: NUKE LIABILITY, link at:


3.Regarding trees look at the need for mindset change regarding dams and trees at:

3.1 PERFECT DESIGNS: Karma for India: damless and full of all life at




R. Ashok Kumar,B.E.,M.E., Negentropist, Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chwk, Mumbai-400007.

Sunday, October 28, 2018

The disaster of development at AAREY: Entirely Avoidable and constitutes useless action


The Saga of Aarey Colony and the metro displacable car shed
Ramaswami Ashok Kumar, Negentropist, Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal,299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chowk, Mumbai-400007. 
Rev 26 Aug 2019                                                                                        
© 2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar                                           

The photosynthesis ecology at Aarey and the saga that  evolves around it for the give and take cooperation requirement regarding annual natural regeneration of the Aarey forest.      

Photosynthesis:                                                                                                                                              
                6CO2+12H2O+photons=C6H12O6+6O2+6H2O                                                                                                                                          
ASIA: AVERAGE ANNUAL INCREMENT IN ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS IN NATURAL REGENERATION BY BROAD CATEGORY (TONNES DRY  MATTER/HA/YEAR)= 6.5. 
INDIA: TABLE 3A.1.4AVERAGE GROWING STOCK ABOVEGROUND VOLUME (1) 43 m^3/ha  AND ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS CONTENT (2) 73 t/ha (DRY MATTER) IN FOREST IN 2000.(SOURCE FRA2000) 
                 

 Increment of CO2 absorption and O2 release that is lost to the metro car shed.                                                                                                                                   
The Carbon content is    2227500 kg C in the dry biomass of 4455000 kg on 33 ha of Aarey Colony.
4455000 kg is(above and below ground): 13.5 kg/m^2*33 ha*10^4 m^2/ha. Dry biomass data for density and annual growth from Reference 3, in the public interest, as it is now a decade and a half since its publication .                                                                                              
The   amount of CO2 in tree biomass is estimated on 33 ha = 2227500x3.67= 8174925 kg.                                                                  
The  amount of O2 released by the trees on 33 ha=2227500x32/12=5940000 kg.                                                                  
The 33 Ha car shed will therefore consume O2 at about a tenth of this rate per year.                                                                                                                                                        
And CO2 unabsorbed is of the amount above of 8174925 kg.                                                                                                                                                     
A human consumes oxygen amounting to 0.84 kg/day or 306.6 kg/y(1)                                                                              
Locally and this is important, locally the O2 equivalent requirement of about 20000 human years will be lost.                                                
The CO2 release by the humans per year is 0.84x365x44/32=421.575 kg per human/y                                                     
The CO2 not absorbed by the car shed is  of 19391 human-years
The India development by NITI AAYOG  rarely produces oxygen or absorbs CO2!                                                                                                                                                             
Consider the whole of maldevelopment in Mumbai by writing an Input Output Matrix to estimate the dirt produced per cubic meter like CO, SO2, CO2, PM 10, PM 2.5 including heavy metals like uranium , the O2 lost and the CO2 not absorbed.                                                                                                                                               
33 ha for the car shed means 17915 persons/sqkm or     0.017915 persons/m^2 or 179.15 per ha and 5911.95 persons on 33 ha of Aarey Colony.           
The Aarey forest supports more than 3 times the persons presently occupying 33 Ha of Aarey Colony in Goregoan .The ecological setting cannot be recreated just by a planting of trees. There are in the forest some species which are dominant, some which are less common and many which are rare. This has evolved over evolutionary time scales. Also because, where is space for planting the trees?  And where is the time? Look at the PM 2.5 Pollution at Vashi on 26 October 2018 was 301 micrograms/m^3 which is severe. Source: Safar India Navi Mumbai.                                                                                                                                                
They could not find land for the Narmada dam oustees and how can they find it here in dense Mumbai, that too for humble trees?
WATER LOST BECAUSE OF THE CAR SHED
Maharashtra: 50% is suffering droughts because of indiscriminate India development. See the car shed and compare it with the Aarey Forest 33 Ha watershed:

The water that would not be recharging the groundwaters at Aarey by the 33 Ha of trees lost to the car shed:
The tree transpires its own weight of water in a day(2).




The 33 ha of Aarey Colony is assumed to have a dry biomass density of 13 kg/m^2


The dry biomass on 33 Ha is  4455000 kg.






This is the quantity of water that the car shed trees transpire everyday and hence recharging this amount to the water table.
This is the drinking water per day at 40 l/d per person for 111375 persons.




The population of Goregon is 7155 persons.






The Aarey colony forest  of 33 Ha would give 40  l/d drinking water for 16 times the number of Goregoans!




Never kill trees even for an ostensibly good reason.
References.
1. Arboriculture & Urban Forestry 2007. 33(3):220–226.
 https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/jrnl/2007/nrs_2007_nowak_001.pdf

2. R. Ashok Kumar.2008.  Reforest Mother Earth to Live! at
 https://practicethevedas.blogspot.com/2008/05/reforest-mother-earth-to-live.html

3. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.2003.Good Practice Guidance for Land Use,
Land-Use Change and Forestry
IPCC National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme
UNEP
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Jim Penman, Michael Gytarsky, Taka Hiraishi, Thelma Krug, Dina Kruger,
Riitta Pipatti, Leandro Buendia, Kyoko Miwa, Todd Ngara,
Kiyoto Tanabe and Fabian Wagner