Sunday, September 8, 2019

Dams, Climate Change, Amazon and Borneo: Drain the Dams and Preserve and Grow Natural Forests

The Way Forward on Climate Change

Revised 9 Sep 2019
© 2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

By Ramaswami Ashok Kumar, Negentropist, B.E.,M.E., Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chowk, Mumbai-400007.

1.0   PRELUDE

Let us first offer a sad prelude and offer our condolences to the families of the bereaved in the fire on M.V. Conception on September 2 2019 at around 3:08 AM PDT(10:08 UTC) when it was anchored off Platts Harbour, a small undeveloped bay on the north shore of Santa Cruz Island, California, USA. The forces of World Dam Dynamics caused the fire as can be inferred by application of the precautionary principle, regarding the unfamiliarity of specialists that modern civilization consists of, regarding the forces alluded to. See for example my research work at


based on which the following comment is made:

1.1 Ball Park Estimate of the Incipient Fire.

The last report from Conception was at 10:08  UTC on 2 September 2019. At that time an earthquake caused by dams of 3.5 MM  moment magnitude  occurred and the World Dam Dynamics caused a force to be applied to the MV Conception which caused a shock heat energy input equivalent to a shock input temperature rise of the ship of more than a million degrees C:

02-09-2019          T10:08:07Z           Lat 16.3 Long -97.93         depth 30km, magnitude 3.5 MM at OAXACA, Mexico.

This same World Dam Dynamics, by direct heating up of the earth, is causing the large temperature rise of the earth resulting in climate change. May the leaders of the world set my work to be reviewed by the population at large with the help of people familiar with public interest science. See

https://livingnormally.blogspot.com/2019/09/a-study-on-fire-on-mv-conception-on-2.html

and


2.0   The Amazon Forest Fire has also been caused by man also and mainly because of World Dam Dynamics.

2.01 Temperature Rise in the Amazon Forest due to World Dam Dynamics.

Applying a similar line of investigation followed in the link above of World Dam Dynamics, my work shows that between 1 October 2018 to 26 August 2019,in the Amazon, an average shock input temperature rise of 14000 K to 38000 K can be expected to occur at 95% confidence level, every 28 minutes over an area of 5.5 km^2 considering a 1m thickness of earth. The maximum shock input temperature rise calculates to more than 90 million degrees K which could have occurred over the specified magnitude of area in the Amazon when an 8 MM earthquake occurred in Lagunas Peru caused by World Dam dynamics:

M 8.0 - 78km SE of Lagunas, Peru

2019-05-26 07:41:15 (UTC)5.812°S 75.270°W122.6 km depth.

2.02 Groundwater Recharging Capacity of the Amazon Rainforests and the Power Flow through them contrasted with World Dam Capacity and Global Electrical Generating Capacity.

Above and Below Ground dry biomass density of the Amazon Rainforest is 42 kg/m^2. Over 5.5 million km^2 of the forest, the daily water transpired is 2.31E+14 kg.

Over 5.5 km^2 of Amazon Rainforest, the rainforest mass of Amazon is A=2.31E+14 kg. This forest biomass transpires its own weight of water per day. The power flow through the rainforest via the sun is 540Kcal/kg* 1.163E-3 kWh/kg*A kWh/(10hrs sunlight per day)kW/10E6 Million kW= 14527262 GW= 14527.262 TW. The total electrical capacity of the World is 7.4 TW. Thus the power flow through the Amazon Rainforest is about 1960 times the total World Electrical generating capacity today! The total water annually transpired by the Amazon forest is 84315 BCM which is about 5.62 times the World Dam estimated capacity of about 15000 BCM. The Amazon Rainforest full of life keeps the Amazon river flowing with a diversity of life.

2.03 How do the World’s natural forests compare with the Brazilian forests?

Table 1 answers all that:

The S American and Brazilian Natural Forests have the same  above and below ground dry biomass density of about 400 t/ha.
The world dry biomass density(Above and below ground) is about half that of the S. American natural forests.
So there is good reason for the rest of the world to wake up and buck up to build their natural forests.
It involves all the knowledge the world can muster to bring back the natural forests.
It involves all the knowledge the world can muster to bring back the natural forests.
This work requires the cooperation of all concerned including that of the Brazilian government and the rest.
The amount of water transpired by the natural forests of  the world is 8.4E+11 t/d
The transpiration through the natural forests of the rest of the world is =
6.09482E+11
t/d
The power flow through the rainforests of the rest of the world is=
2.638450216
fold that through the Amazon forest
The area of  the world's natural forests is
3943030326
ha
The above and below ground dry biomass of the world
8.40482E+11
t
The area of the Amazon Rainforest is
550000000
ha
The above and below ground dry biomass of the Amazon Rainforest
2.31E+11
t
The area of the rest of the world's natural forests
3393030326
ha
The above and below ground dry biomass of the rest of the world
6.09482E+11
t
The area of the rest of the world's natural forests,ha/The area of the Amazon Rainforests,ha
6.169146
Transpiration of the Amazon Rainforest is
2.31E+11
t/d
Transpiration of the Rest of the World's natural forests,t/d/Transpiration of the Amazon Rainforest, t/d
2.63845
The Area of the World's land mass,km^2
14,89,39,063.13
14893906313
ha
The Area of Brazil,km^2
84,56,510
845651000
ha
The area of the Landmass of the rest of the world(World-Brazil)
14048255313
ha
The area of the rest of the land mass of the world/Area of landmass Brazil
16.61235582
ha/ha
The above and below ground dry biomass density of the rest of the world, t/ha
179.6276312
t/ha
The above and below ground dry biomass density of  the Amazon Rainforest, t/ha
420
t/ha
The AG&BG Dry Biomass Density of Amazon/AG&BG Dry Biomass Density of the Rest of the World
2.33817
The World Population(human)
 Population
(Human)
7.7
Billion
in Sep 2019
The Population of Brazil(Human)
21,13,21,579
in Sep 2019
World Population/Brazil Population(2019)
36.43735787
in Sep 2019
Rest of World Population(World-Brazil)
7,48,86,78,421
in Sep 2019
Rest of World Population(World-Brazil)/Brazil Population
35.43735787
in Sep 2019
Borneo Forest Data
See https://data.mongabay.com/borneo.html
We must move to towards an international program of reforestation with all its difficulties(the solution is possible because of the ignorance which makes us feel it is difficult).

The annual groundwater recharging capacity of amazon rainforest is 84315 BCM. 

The rest of the world's is 222461 BCM.This is 14.83 fold the estimated world dam capacity of 15000 BCM.

Also see the research which brings out the greater density of forests biomass in Borneo, the destruction of which is the tragedy wrought by modern civilization and its protagonists.
See the richness of Borneo destroyed by the West and its lackeys:
Assessment of Above-Ground Biomass of Borneo Forests through a New Data-Fusion Approach Combining Two Pan-Tropical Biomass Maps
Abstract:
This study investigates how two existing pan-tropical above-ground biomass (AGB) maps (Saatchi 2011, Baccini 2012) can be combined to derive forest ecosystem specific carbon estimates. Several data-fusion models which combine these AGB maps according to their local correlations with independent datasets such as the spectral bands of SPOT VEGETATION imagery are analyzed. Indeed these spectral bands convey information about vegetation type and structure which can be related to biomass values. Our study area is the island of Borneo. The data-fusion models are evaluated against a reference AGB map available for two forest concessions in Sabah. The highest accuracy was achieved by a model which combines the AGB maps according to the mean of the local correlation coefficients calculated over different kernel sizes. Combining the resulting AGB map with a new Borneo land cover map (whose overall accuracy has been estimated at 86.5%) leads to average AGB estimates of 279.8 t/ha and 233.1 t/ha for forests and degraded forests respectively. Lowland dipterocarp and mangrove forests have the highest and lowest AGB values (305.8 t/ha and 136.5 t/ha respectively). The AGB of all natural forests amounts to 10.8 Gt mainly stemming from lowland dipterocarp (66.4%), upper dipterocarp (10.9%) and peat swamp forests (10.2%). Degraded forests account for another 2.1 Gt of AGB. One main advantage of our approach is that, once the best fitting data-fusion model is selected, no further AGB reference dataset is required for implementing the data-fusion process. Furthermore, the local harmonization of AGB datasets leads to more spatially precise maps. This approach can easily be extended to other areas in Southeast Asia which are dominated by lowland dipterocarp forest, and can be repeated when newer or more accurate AGB maps become available.
URI:
So there is a problem with modern civilization. And it is not Brazil alone.

4 comments:

Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...

https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/raisina-dialogue-world-leaders-discuss-challenges-like-us-iran-tensions-climate-change/article30568803.ece?utm_source=taboola#comments_30568803
Behind all these challenges is modern civilization itself, a society of specialists. When Mahatma Gandhi and Sir M Viswesharaiya crossed their paths, Sr MV said to the Mahatma: Industrialise or perish. To which the Mahatma replied at once: INDUSTRIALISE AND PERISH. An American farmer and Poet in his book The Unsettling of America : Culture and Agriculture wrote pithily: "In living in this world by his own will and skill, the stupidest peasant or tribesman is more competent than the most intelligent worker or technician or intellectual in a society of specialists." Mumbai and Vashi are to go under the seas by 2030. You foolish rulers, life is not due to your generosity. STOP and go normal.

Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...

WHAT IS A TREE’S VALUE: SC TOI 19 FEB 2020
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/what-is-a-trees-value-sc-to-ask-economists-and-environmentalists/articleshow/74199943.cms
Compared with Modern Civilization (MC) which is a society of specialists, nature has infinite value. The tree is an interconnected indivisible part of nature. The tree along with other flora produces food from sunlight,carbon di oxide, water. This food it stores within itself giving out oxygen which produces the microclimate in the forest or garden which we all require to live.The tree, a living being, is infinitely superior to dams, which are lifeless and are slaves to gravity. The tree overcomes gravity, and sucks water from the underground and fills the skies with clouds and transfers water by density difference further away. This the tree does by its automatic atmospheric distribution network in proportion to the density of vegetation. Dams cause unacceptable earthquakes bringing about climate change for the worse. The tree because of osmosis and transpiration with the help of extraterrestrial energy of the sun situated safely 150 million kms from the earth, transfers water during either the monsoon or dry season and enables the use of the same waters many times. Dams perish and get silted and salted. Trees reproduce non-clonally with the help of fellow creatures-bees, butterflies- invertebrate fauna and vertebrata like birds and mammals, living in harmony along with humans in ecological balance forever. Thus once you cut a tree and a forest, this power of working against gravity is lost and the water stored beneath the forest in the mountains vanishes and results in the dust bowl. The infinite diversity and power of the tree must not be destroyed in the name of modern civilization , which given enough time destroys itself, as is being witnessed by the destruction of the Paciific Ocean by Fukushima, the destruction of life by the American Flu Pandemic of 1918, the various flus which followed and now by the Pralayan effect of Wuhan so near the Three Gorges dam in China. Beware and reforest. Beware and protect existing forests. Beware and protect the old tree. Go normal. Nature gives you everything. Don’t mine it. You kill the golden goose! Crudely put environment which includes you and all life and all abiota is development!

Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...

See also
https://livingnormally.blogspot.com/2020/02/the-conundrum-of-wild-man-and-all-other.html

Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...

Re: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/the-message-from-the-ipcc-report/article35946913.ece?homepage=true
This article is a big zero because it ignores my work on dams as the principal cause of many catastrophes befalling the wild man and his industrial revolution. In living in this world by his own will and skill, the stupidest peasant or tribesman is more competent than the most intelligent worker or technician or intellectual in a society of specialists- Wendell Berry In the Unsettling of America- Culture and Agriculture. See Ramaswami Ashok Kumar. 2021. PERFECT DESIGNS. Blogspot. Also see by the same author,
http://modernandnormal.blogspot.com/2006/09/modern-and-normal-civilizations.html