Tuesday, September 10, 2019

A Study on the Fire on MV Conception on 2 September 2019


© 2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

By Ramaswami Ashok Kumar, Negentropist, B.E.,M.E., Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chowk, Mumbai-400007.

1.0   PRELUDE

Let us first offer a sad prelude and offer our condolences to the families of the bereaved in the fire on M.V. Conception on September 2 2019 at around 3:08 AM PDT(10:08 UTC) when it was anchored off Platts Harbour, a small undeveloped bay on the north shore of Santa Cruz Island, California, USA. The forces of World Dam Dynamics caused the fire as can be inferred by application of the precautionary principle, regarding the unfamiliarity of specialists that modern civilization consists of, regarding the forces alluded to. See for example my research work at


based on which the following comment is made:

1.01Ball Park Estimate of the Incipient Fire.

1.01.01 At 15:54:21 UTC on 1 Sep 2019 a 6.7 MM magnitude earthquake caused  by World Dam Dynamics occurred corresponding to a worldwide instantaneous dam content change of  0.703 BCM. This caused a vertically downward force of 6.9E12 N to be applied to the ship.The location of the ship was about 34.086,-119.85. The distance of the ship from the center of gravity of the world’s dams at 25.7,111.5 was 13098 km. If all the applied energy by the dams were to be converted to heat input to the ship, it would be equivalent to a shock input temperature to the ship of 1.25E11 K. If all the applied energy were instead to be converted to kinetic energy, it would have resulted in a slamming pressure of 144 times the nominal slamming pressure of 250 million newtons per sq.m. It would be plausible for some combination of heat energy and kinetic energy input could have resulted because of world dam dynamics: The 6.7 magnitude earthquake occurred with the following parameters:
 01-09-2019         15:54:21               -20.43    -178.53 608                        Mw        6.7          FIJI REGION.

The previous earthquake had the following data:

01-09-2019          15:51:00               58.16     -153.69 65                          ML          2.2          KODIAK ISLAND REGION

See the calculations:

Water Moment

for evaluating
Shock
Shock
1s
Area of ship
Actual
Nominal
Actual
from Center of  Gravity

dam content change
Input
Input
displ-
Pressure
Slamming
Slammimg Pressure/
of Dams to the earth-
quakeof 6.7 MM
DBCM from
WMCGQ,
Energy
Temp Rise
Accln
acement
N/m^2
Pressure
Nominal Slamming Pr
to raise
of ship,
vertically
m
5*10^(1.5MM-10)*10^19.05=


Distance CG
to earth-
quake,km
Dam Content Force due the Dam Content
temp of
down



Change Change
ship by 1K
WMCGQ
CGDams
dCGQ
WMCGCon
Conception
24mx8m
Nm
CG,LatCG,
 CG,Long
km
fDBCM
DBCM
F,N
Loc of Conception
dCGCon,km
Nm
Mass,kg
J
K
m/s/s
m
m^2
N/m^2
6.29463E+19
25.694059
111.4991
9126.263832
8.95286E+19
0.703085234
6.89727E+12
34.06826
-119.85
13097.51
9.0337E+19
361000
722000000
1.25121E+11
19106000.4
9553000
192
35923261189
250000000
143.693
Earthquake Details: Date Time,UTC Latitude Longitude Depth,km
Type of
Earthquake
 Magnitude Area
Distance,km from ship Time elapsed,min Seconds Time of application of force on ship
01-09-2019
15:51:00
58.16
-153.69
65

ML
2.2
KODIAK ISLAND REGION
3667.183
0
34.06826
-119.8502
0
0.9955514
59.7330863
15:51:59.73
01-09-2019
15:54:21
-20.43
-178.53
608

MM
6.7
FIJI REGION
8672.774
3.35





In 3 minutes 21 seconds world dam dynamics passed from the 2.2 MM earthquake at latitude 58.16 deg North to a 6.7 magnitude strong earthquake in the Fiji Region at a latitude of -20.43, passing the ship’s location on the way at roughly 34.06826              -119.8502.  It was a fleeting moment for which the transient force and energy was applied to the ship. But possibly damaging the ship significantly that some 18 hours later at 10:08 hrs on September 2, 2019, a force corresponding to a 3.5 MM earthquake which corresponded to a shock input temperature of a million degrees Celsius was enough(applying the precautionary principle) even for a fleeting moment to make the ship catch fire into an inferno:

1.01.02 The last report from Conception was at 10:07  UTC on 2 September 2019. At 10:08:07 an earthquake caused by dams of 3.5 MM  moment magnitude  occurred and the World Dam Dynamics caused a force to be applied to the MV Conception which caused a shock heat energy input equivalent to a shock input temperature rise of the ship of more than a million degrees C:

02-09-2019          T10:08:07Z           Lat 16.3 Long -97.93         depth 30km, magnitude 3.5 MM at OAXACA, Mexico.

Shock
Shock
1s
Area of ship
Actual
Nominal
Input
Input
displ-
Pressure
Slamming
Energy
Temp Rise
Accln
acement
N/m^2
Pressure
to raise
of ship,
vertically
m
temp of
down
ship by 1K
WMCGQ
CGDams
dCGQ
WMCGCon
Conception
24mx8m
Nm
CG
km
fDBCM
DBCM
F,N
Loc of Conception
dCGCon,km
Nm
Mass,kg
J
K
m/s/s
m
m^2
N/m^2
9.97631E+14
25.694059
111.4991
14362.90652
1.409E+20
7.08041E-06
69458863.06
34.04964
-119.734
11451.65
7.95419E+14
361000
722000000
1101687.675
192.406823
96.20341
192
361764.9118
250000000



Actually there was also a transition, like it happened with the 6.7 MM magnitude earthquake earlier(See above) dictated by World Dam Dynamics from an earthquake which happened earlier:

02-09-2019
T09:57:19Z
58.39
-152.75
39

ML
2.5
KODIAK ISLAND REGION
3642.238
9.9552778
34.04964
-119.73449
MV CONCEPTION
0
10.054902
0.099623876
3.29409925
17.64595
03:17.7
10:03:18
02-09-2019
T10:08:07Z
16.3
-97.93
30

 M
3.5
OAXACA
2938.542
10.135278
0.18





No wonder the last report from the ship was at 10:07 UTC on 2 Sep 2019.

This same World Dam Dynamics, by direct heating up of the earth, is causing the large temperature rise of the earth resulting in climate change. May the leaders of the world set my work to be reviewed by the population at large with the help of people familiar with public interest science. See

Earthquake data was derived from raw data at EMSC site.
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