Mystery of the Malaysian MH 370 airliner disappearance solved.

A Citizen studies airplane occurrences and Solves the MH 370 Mystery.

By Ramaswami Ashok Kumar, B.E., M.E., Negentropist.

© 2018-2019 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

1. The AF447 Air France Flight 31 May 2009 to June 1 2009: Crash

At 1 h 35 min 38, the ATLANTICO controller sent a SELCAL call, whose completion the

crew confirmed and thanked the ATLANTICO controller.

At 1 h 35 min 46, the ATLANTICO controller asked the crew to maintain FL350 and to

give an estimate at TASIL.

Between 1 h 35 min 53 and 1 h 36 min 14, the ATLANTICO controller asked the crew three times for its estimated time passing TASIL. The crew did not answer.

See the temperature sequence:

2. Similarly see the Temperature shock sequence for the Malaysian Boeing 777-200 ER which disappeared on 7 March 2014:

 

3. From Chicago O'Hare,IL to Boston,MA (USA), reached the top of descent into Boston when a strong odour of dirty socks occurred.

Plane A319-100, Reg No. N519NK, Ft NK-708, July,17 2015.   Captain died 50 days later.            

4. Incident: UPS B763,Boeing 767-300 at Raleigh Durham on Dec 5th 2018, engine fire indicaton:

A UPS United Parcel Service Boeing 767-300, registration N327UP performing flight 5X-2276 from Louisville,KY to Raleigh/Durham,NC (USA), was on approach to Raleigh Durham's runway 23R about to join final approach when the crew reported they had just got a fire indication.

5. Swift Air Boeing 737- A 400, registration N803TJ performing flight WQ-2228 (dep Dec 7th) from Long Beach,CA to Raleigh/Durham,NC (USA), was enroute at FL350 about 50nm north of Tulsa,OK (USA) when the crew reported a cargo smoke indication and diverted to Tulsa: . Emergency services did not find any trace of fire, heat or smoke.

6. Fig 8: 10Dec2018. SmokeinPLane: An Indigo Airbus A320-200N, registration VT-ITR performing flight 6E-237 from Jaipur to Kolkata (India): Smoke in Airplane. Crew and People affected: Emergency. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=TO_FZ3L4yus

7. A Spicejet de Havilland Dash 8-400, registration VT-SUQ performing flight SG-2695 from Delhi to Jodhpur (India) with 60 people on board, made an emergency landing at the airport in New Delhi on 4 Dec 2018, due to a cargo smoke indication. . Emergency services found no trace of fire, heat or smoke.

1. The study

What is common to the antecedents of a host of occurrences during airplane flights, 7 samples of which appear in the Figures above, is World Dam Dynamics. During monsoons the dams fill up. During the dry seasons the reservoirs behind the dams are depleted. The water demand from instant to instant are being met by water withdrawal from the hundreds of thousands of reservoirs in the world. Applying the Precautionary Principle one should stop such practices and make a scientific evaluation and arrive at the root cause of frequent airplane occurrences (and other occurrences in modern civilization) and make a policy to change our life styles to an acceptable level of risk by designing around the present huge lacuna in the design of modern civilization resulting in unacceptable loss of all kinds of life and their habitat.  The study together with other studies on various aspects of modern civilization by this author, leads us to the root cause of the occurrences, in this case of the airplane occurrences.

2. The nature of the dynamics applied on the aircraft.

2.1 The plane is effected by dam dynamics whether an occurrence on the plane is identified or not.

Whether an occurrence during a plane in flight took place or not, during flight the dynamics of dams will have exerted an entropic effect on the life of the plane. This follows from the fact that the dam dynamics are at the root cause of all and significantly all plane occurrences save bird strikes, which I have studied.

When a plane in flight experiences the surge of dam dynamics lasting for an impulse duration, it is enveloped by a rigid column of air, water, and earth. This enables the force and the bending moment surges exerted by dams to be instantaneously transmitted through a rigid archimedean leverage to the plane caught in this rigid envelope of the earth.

3. How Dam content changes are measured.

With hundreds of thousands of lakes in use in the world today one cannot hope to measure each of the changes at any instant and add them all up to get the total dam content change at any instant. Thus one has to design around this lack of information and get at the measure of the dam content change at reasonable intervals, that are of significantly higher frequency  than the speed of the aeroplane in flight. Fortunately during the dam era, earthquakes are being caused by dams frequently enough for assessment of dam content changes at the time an earthquake occurs. Such earthquakes are a proxy for the dam content changes. During the dam era most of the earthquakes are caused by dam dynamics(1).

4. Determination of shock acceleration input(m/s/s) and shock temperature input(K) during the flight.

Plane locations during a flight are available(2). Thus knowing the total worldwide sum of dam content changes at any instant, and knowing that this acts at the centre of gravity of the water masses behind the dams, and computing the centre of gravity of the dams at any given instant of plane location, the distance between the centre of gravity of dams and of the plane location, the force and the bending moment exerted on the plane by the dam content change are computed.  The archimedean lever from the centre of gravity of the dam to the plane through the medium of the earth also presents itself as a rigid lever to the instantaneous dam content change surge. Knowing the bending moment exerted on the plane by the dam surge, the energy of this bending moment is assumed all to be converted to the shock temperature input to the plane to get a ball park estimate. For this, E, the energy required to raise the temperature of the plane by 1 degree Kelvin is computed assuming a specific energy of 2000 Joules per K/kg. The bending moment energy in Nm is then divided by E to get the shock temperature rise in Kelvins of the aeroplane due to the dam surge.  Similarly, knowing the force,F,N, that is applied on the plane by the dam content change, and knowing the thrust,T,N developed by the engines, the ratio F/T is determined to highlight the enormity of the force applied on the plane by the total dam content change at a given instant during the flight of the plane. Again, the shock acceleration input to the plane, if all the force were used up to convert it to the input acceleration shock  is determined by dividing the applied Force,F,N by the mass,kg of the airplane. These figures, the shock input acceleration of the plane(vertically down in the dry season and vertically up during the mon soon) and the shock temperature input to the plane form the basis for analysis leading to the root cause of the occurrences.

5. The determination of the root cause of plane occurrences. The seven examples.

The example described above through figures are but real occurrences whose common antecedents are the very high temperature inputs to the planes and also the huge shocks in the form of acceleration inputs. The figures show the shock temperatures. Briefly, the fumes cause disorientation and suffocation because of the high temperature inputs resulting in volatile chemicals being generated from the plane contents and the materials of which the plane is made. This is inferred from the fact that all these occurrences show a peak temperature input(s) after which in every single instance the occurrence criticality occurs.

5.1 Thus in the example of the Air France June 1, 2009 crash, after the last communication with the pilot at 1:35 Z, no more communication by voice takes place because at 1:37Z, a  shock temperature input to the plane of 3.3 million degrees K  was applied by dam dynamic surge. Note that just prior to this at 00:53Z, more than double this shock input temperature had occurred. Fumes must have caused the incapacitation of the crew. That’s why the pilots did not answer the requests : Between 1 h 35 min 53 and 1 h 36 min 14, the ATLANTICO controller asked the crew three times for its estimated time passing TASIL. The crew did not answer.

5.2 In the disaster of the disappearance of the Malaysian Airliner MH 370, a 44 million degrees K shock input temperature occurred and nine minutes and 24 s later voice contact was lost and a minute a half later the plane went off KL ACC radar. But the pilots were fighting the disorientation caused by the fumes but did succeed in turning back the plane towards Malaysia. That’s why the military radar was able to track it in the reverse direction! Thereafter the crew and the passengers passed away inhaling the fumes.

5.3 From Chicago O'Hare,IL to Boston,MA (USA), reached the top of descent into Boston when a strong odour of dirty socks occurred. Plane A319-100, Reg No. N519NK, Ft NK-708, July,17 2015.        Captain died 50 days later.  Carbon monoxide but probably other volatiles as well at shock input temperatures of billions to hundreds of millions at an average of 230 million degrees K. See details of computations in Appendix 1.

5.4  Example 4 above:  Incident: UPS B763,Boeing 767-300 at Raleigh Durham on Dec 5th 2018, engine fire indication for an impulse shock input temperature, lasting for a jiffy but of 280 million degrees K!  Naturally, emergency services did not find any evidence of fire.

5.5. Example 5 above:

 5. Swift Air Boeing 737- A 400, registration N803TJ performing flight WQ-2228 (dep Dec 7th) from Long Beach,CA to Raleigh/Durham,NC (USA), was enroute at FL350 about 50nm north of Tulsa,OK (USA) when the crew reported a cargo smoke indication and diverted to Tulsa: . Emergency services did not find any trace of fire, heat or smoke. The instantaneous like impulse of 414 million K and mean of 13.34 million K.

5.6 Example 6 above: 10Dec2018. SmokeinPLane: An Indigo Airbus A320-200N, registration VT-ITR performing flight 6E-237 from Jaipur to Kolkata (India): Smoke in Airplane. Crew and People affected: Emergency.
https://www.youtube.com/watchv=TO_FZ3L4yus

To view this video please copy and paste it on the address bar and search with google.
Maximum shock: 161 million degrees K, mean 11 million K.  The video shows scenes on board the flight. Scary scenario indeed going by the examples cited.

5.7. A Spicejet de Havilland Dash 8-400, registration VT-SUQ performing flight SG-2695 from Delhi to Jodhpur (India) with 60 people on board, made an emergency landing at the airport in New Delhi on 4 Dec 2018, due to a cargo smoke indication.  Emergency services found no trace of fire, heat or smoke.(Example 7 above). At 9:27Z, shock input temperature: 1.46 million K.

References.

1. https://livingnormally.blogspot.com/2017/10/ignore-root-cause-get-root-shock-dams.html

2. www.flightaware.com

3. Aviation Herald for the incidences.

Appendix 1

From Chicago O'Hare,IL to Boston,MA (USA), reached the top of descent into Boston when a strong odour of dirty socks occurred. Plane A319-100, Reg No. N519NK, Ft NK-708, July,17 2015.        Captain died 50 days later.  Carbon monoxide but probably other volatiles as well at shock input temperatures of billions to hundreds of millions at an average of 230 million degrees K.

				Moment		Seismic
	Earthquake			Magnitude	Type	Moment
Date and Time,Z	Latitude	Longitude	depth,km	MM		SM=10^(1.5*MM-10)
2015-07-17T18:49:53.720Z	-18.1214	-178.189	536.1	5.8	mww	0.050118723		From Chicago O'Hare,IL to Boston,MA (USA), reached the top of descent into Boston when a strong odour of dirty socks occurred																							Mean
2015-07-17T18:53:38.000Z	66.3633	-153.667	10	1.9	ml	7.07946E-08		Plane A319-100, Reg No. N519NK, Ft NK-708				July,17 2015.		Captain died 50 days later.						A319-100											Shock								Sum	Mean
2015-07-17T18:54:37.000Z	66.3905	-153.721	4.6	2.2	ml	1.99526E-07		Water	Centre of Gravity		Distance,		dBCM=		Total	Maximum				Energy					Shock						Temp							Shock	Shock	Shock
2015-07-17T18:54:40.321Z	37.2911	-114.657	5.1	1.7	ml	3.54813E-08		MomentCG-	of water masses		CG to		WMCGQ/	F,N=	Engine	Takeoff				to raise					Input					Deg Kelvin	Input							Input	Input	Input
2015-07-17T18:56:54.000Z	66.3602	-153.48	8.9	2.1	ml	1.41254E-07		Earthquake	CG		Earthquake		fDBCM,	10^12*9.81*	Thrust,	Weight,		Accln	Spe Energy	Temp by				WMCGPlane	Temp					Shock Input	betwn Qs							Temp	Temp	Temp
2015-07-17T18:58:16.000Z	66.3155	-153.378	3.2	2.4	ml	3.98107E-07		WMCGQ,Nm	Latitude	Longitude	dCGQ.km	fDBCM	BCM	dBCM	T,N	MTOW,kg	F/T	m/s/s	J/kg/K	1K	Aircraft	Location	dCGPlane,km	Nm	Rise,K	Time Hrs UTC	Time,diff,Hrs.	Diff Time,secs.	MeanTBQ,secs.	Mean Temp	deg Kel						Time,h,Z	Rise,K	Rise,K	Rise,K
2015-07-17T19:18:35.430Z	-11.8702	66.1182	11.29	4.8	mb	0.001584893	1	8.8914E+16	25.234	91.8811	4981.74871	4.8871E+19	0.001819	17847943694	240000	75500	74366.43	236396.6	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	2.24E+17	1.48E+09	19.30984						1	17-07-2015	19	18	35.43	19.30984	1.48E+09	1.48E+09	1482364596
2015-07-17T19:21:18.880Z	37.05	-97.9202	5.82	2.36	ml	3.46737E-07	2	1.9452E+13	25.234	91.8811	13013.7977	1.27665E+20	1.52E-07	1494741.016	240000	75500	6.228088	19.79789	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.87E+13	124146							2	17-07-2015	19	21	18.88	19.35524	124146	1.48E+09	741244371.2
2015-07-17T19:22:23.210Z	-6.3202	149.0544	49.31	4.3	mb	0.000281838	3	1.5811E+16	25.234	91.8811	7101.68816	6.96676E+19	0.000227	2226426723	240000	75500	9276.778	29489.1	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	2.79E+16	1.85E+08							3	17-07-2015	19	22	23.21	19.37311	1.85E+08	1.67E+09	555801689
2015-07-17T19:27:26.745Z	41.8879	-119.622	8.2	1.8	ml	5.01187E-08	4	2.8117E+12	25.234	91.8811	11878.8279	1.16531E+20	2.41E-08	236698.9948	240000	75500	0.986246	3.135086	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	2.97E+12	19659.08							4	17-07-2015	19	27	26.745	19.45743	19659.08	1.67E+09	416856181.5
2015-07-17T19:29:39.000Z	53.5194	-165.214	42.3	2.4	ml	3.98107E-07	5	2.2334E+13	25.234	91.8811	8576.85531	8.4139E+19	2.65E-07	2604005.64	240000	75500	10.85002	34.49014	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	3.27E+13	216276.2							5	17-07-2015	19	29	39	19.49417	216276.2	1.67E+09	333528200.4
2015-07-17T19:30:42.300Z	36.7435	-97.5702	1.418	2.8	ml	1.58489E-06	6	8.8914E+13	25.234	91.8811	13052.6757	1.28047E+20	6.94E-07	6811934.369	240000	75500	28.38306	90.2243	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	8.54E+13	565766.6							6	17-07-2015	19	30	42.3	19.51175	565766.6	1.67E+09	278034461.5
2015-07-17T19:35:03.190Z	19.3005	-155.882	13.769	1.6	md	2.51189E-08	7	1.4092E+12	25.234	91.8811	11174.6893	1.09624E+20	1.29E-08	126105.6509	240000	75500	0.52544	1.670274	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.58E+12	10473.73							7	17-07-2015	19	35	3.19	19.58422	10473.73	1.67E+09	238316748.9
2015-07-17T19:35:53.200Z	17.899	-68.6928	147	3.4	Md	1.25893E-05	8	7.0627E+14	25.234	91.8811	14778.1937	1.44974E+20	4.87E-06	47791278.49	240000	75500	199.1303	632.9971	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	5.99E+14	3969314							8	17-07-2015	19	35	53.2	19.59811	3969314	1.67E+09	209023319.6
2015-07-17T19:36:53.890Z	36.9174	69.2987	24.08	4.1	mwr	0.000141254	9	7.9245E+15	25.234	91.8811	2502.68495	2.45513E+19	0.000323	3166385745	240000	75500	13193.27	41938.88	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	3.97E+16	2.63E+08							9	17-07-2015	19	36	53.89	19.61497	2.63E+08	1.94E+09	215019041.1
2015-07-17T19:39:44.170Z	-5.529	152.0598	38.01	5.2	mb	0.006309573	10	3.5397E+17	25.234	91.8811	7339.32256	7.19988E+19	0.004916	48229641013	240000	75500	200956.8	638803.2	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	6.05E+17	4.01E+09							10	17-07-2015	19	39	44.17	19.66227	4.01E+09	5.94E+09	594089402.1
2015-07-17T19:42:37.000Z	62.7028	-151.114	86.3	1.2	ml	6.30957E-09	11	3.5397E+11	25.234	91.8811	8786.54509	8.6196E+19	4.11E-09	40285.78794	240000	75500	0.167857	0.533587	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	5.05E+11	3345.944							11	17-07-2015	19	42	37	19.71028	3345.944	5.94E+09	540081578.8
2015-07-17T19:42:38.569Z	41.8542	-119.658	7.6	2	ml	0.0000001	12	5.6101E+12	25.234	91.8811	11880.6088	1.16549E+20	4.81E-08	472205.789	240000	75500	1.967524	6.254381	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	5.92E+12	39219.15							12	17-07-2015	19	42	38.569	19.71071	39219.15	5.94E+09	495078048.8
2015-07-17T19:49:42.847Z	39.2355	-114.924	17.7	1.9	ml	7.07946E-08	13	3.9716E+12	25.234	91.8811	12324.4534	1.20903E+20	3.28E-08	322256.9835	240000	75500	1.342737	4.268304	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	4.04E+12	26765.12							13	17-07-2015	19	49	42.847	19.82857	26765.12	5.94E+09	456997180.8
2015-07-17T19:51:18.340Z	36.8331	69.2581	13.55	4.1	mwr	0.000141254	14	7.9245E+15	25.234	91.8811	2502.04455	2.45451E+19	0.000323	3167196184	240000	75500	13196.65	41949.62	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	3.97E+16	2.63E+08							14	17-07-2015	19	51	18.34	19.85509	2.63E+08	6.2E+09	443143962.5
2015-07-17T19:56:12.300Z	18.0809	-67.6067	100	3	Md	3.16228E-06	15	1.7741E+14	25.234	91.8811	14711.6278	1.44321E+20	1.23E-06	12058943.92	240000	75500	50.2456	159.7211	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.51E+14	1001558							15	17-07-2015	19	56	12.3	19.93675	1001558	6.21E+09	413667802.2
2015-07-17T20:00:47.970Z	34.41367	-118.988	14.75	1.28	ml	8.31764E-09	16	4.6663E+11	25.234	91.8811	12626.5363	1.23866E+20	3.77E-09	36956.06942	240000	75500	0.153984	0.489484	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	4.63E+11	3069.394							16	17-07-2015	20	0	47.97	20.01333	3069.394	6.21E+09	387813756.4
2015-07-17T20:15:49.000Z	63.0656	-151.381	4.4	1.4	ml	1.25893E-08	17	7.0627E+11	25.234	91.8811	8752.4318	8.58614E+19	8.23E-09	80694.00469	240000	75500	0.336225	1.068795	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.01E+12	6702.057	20.26361	0.953769444	3433.57	201.9747	3.65E+08	1807165	17	17-07-2015	20	15	49	20.26361	6702.057	6.21E+09	365001576.7
2015-07-17T20:20:52.000Z	59.029	-136.64	6	2	ml	0.0000001	18	5.6101E+12	25.234	91.8811	9642.79668	9.45958E+19	5.93E-08	581790.9944	240000	75500	2.424129	7.705841	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	7.3E+12	48320.77							18	17-07-2015	20	20	52	20.34778	48320.77	6.21E+09	344726395.8
2015-07-17T20:25:58.000Z	51.7984	-172.964	41.5	2.5	ml	5.62341E-07	19	3.1548E+13	25.234	91.8811	8167.88612	8.0127E+19	3.94E-07	3862427.409	240000	75500	16.09345	51.15798	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	4.84E+13	320794.7							19	17-07-2015	20	25	58	20.43278	320794.7	6.21E+09	326599785.2
2015-07-17T20:31:54.000Z	61.3739	-150.496	47.2	1.4	ml	1.25893E-08	20	7.0627E+11	25.234	91.8811	8898.00939	8.72895E+19	8.09E-09	79373.79489	240000	75500	0.330724	1.051309	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	9.95E+11	6592.407							20	17-07-2015	20	31	54	20.53167	6592.407	6.21E+09	310270125.6
2015-07-17T20:38:36.000Z	51.1165	-179.894	13	2.2	ml	1.99526E-07	21	1.1194E+13	25.234	91.8811	7733.19971	7.58627E+19	1.48E-07	1447474.024	240000	75500	6.031142	19.17184	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.82E+13	120220.2							21	17-07-2015	20	38	36	20.64333	120220.2	6.21E+09	295501082.5
2015-07-17T20:39:30.000Z	64.7446	-152.688	29.8	1.9	ml	7.07946E-08	22	3.9716E+12	25.234	91.8811	8595.42037	8.43211E+19	4.71E-08	462064.7977	240000	75500	1.92527	6.120064	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	5.79E+12	38376.89							22	17-07-2015	20	39	30	20.65833	38376.89	6.21E+09	282070959.5
2015-07-17T20:45:17.820Z	33.86617	-117.501	-0.54	1.67	ml	3.1989E-08	23	1.7946E+12	25.234	91.8811	12747.4034	1.25052E+20	1.44E-08	140782.3704	240000	75500	0.586593	1.864667	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.77E+12	11692.71							23	17-07-2015	20	45	17.82	20.75495	11692.71	6.21E+09	269807513.1
2015-07-17T20:45:34.030Z	36.55883	-121.156	6.951	1.5	md	1.77828E-08	24	9.9763E+11	25.234	91.8811	12320.8737	1.20868E+20	8.25E-09	80970.81262	240000	75500	0.337378	1.072461	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	1.02E+12	6725.047							24	17-07-2015	20	45	34.03	20.75945	6725.047	6.21E+09	258565813.6
2015-07-17T20:46:44.700Z	17.9342	-63.8945	25	2.6	Md	7.94328E-07	25	4.4563E+13	25.234	91.8811	14545.5362	1.42692E+20	3.12E-07	3063657.904	240000	75500	12.76524	40.57825	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	3.84E+13	254452.7							25	17-07-2015	20	46	44.7	20.77908	254452.7	6.21E+09	248233359.2
2015-07-17T21:13:08.000Z	66.4106	-153.983	11.2	2.5	ml	5.62341E-07	26	3.1548E+13	25.234	91.8811	8445.84538	8.28537E+19	3.81E-07	3735311.954	240000	75500	15.5638	49.47433	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	4.68E+13	310237.1							26	17-07-2015	21	13	8	21.21889	310237.1	6.21E+09	238697854.5
2015-07-17T21:21:17.000Z	62.2571	-147.933	15	1.1	ml	4.46684E-09	27	2.5059E+11	25.234	91.8811	8947.6841	8.77768E+19	2.85E-09	28006.53376	240000	75500	0.116694	0.370947	2000	1.51E+08	41.97861	-87.9047	12541.34	3.51E+11	2326.088	21.35472	1.091111111	3928	392.8	102403.7	260.7019	27	17-07-2015	21	21	17	21.35472	2326.088	6.21E+09	229857279.4
2015-07-17T21:24:38.030Z	19.36933	-155.431	8.875	1.98	md	9.33254E-08																			2.3E+08	0.075736	272.6507407	843046.6				28	17-07-2015	21	24	38.03	21.41056	2.3E+08	6.44E+09	229857279.4